Mathematical Modeling of Rhesus Cytomegalovirus Transplacental Transmission in Seronegative Rhesus Macaques.

Abstract

Approximately 0.7% of infants are born with congenital cytomegalovirus (CMV), making it the most common congenital infection. About 1 in 5 congenitally infected babies will suffer long-term sequelae, including sensorineural deafness, intellectual disability, and epilepsy. CMV infection is highly species-dependent, and the rhesus CMV (RhCMV) infection of rhesus monkey fetuses is the only animal model that replicates essential features of congenital CMV (cCMV) infection in humans, including placental transmission, fetal disease, and fetal loss. Using experimental data from RhCMV seronegative rhesus macaques inoculated with RhCMV in the late first to early second trimesters of pregnancy, we built and calibrated a mathematical model for the placental transmission of CMV. The model was then used to study the effect of the timing of inoculation, maternal immune suppression, and hyper-immune globulin infusion on the risk of placental transmission in the context of primary and reactivated chronic maternal CMV infection.