Mathematical model for human myeloma relating growth kinetics and drug resistance.

Abstract

We present a computer-based mathematical model that can simulate characteristic features of the clinical time course of human myeloma. It asserts that therapy resistance in myeloma cells is an inherited trait associated with the longer inter-mitotic times of some cells and that the strength of this trait affects tumour growth characteristics. These kinetic differences within the malignant cell clone may also influence therapeutic efficacy. In the model, the same total therapy, administered in different time-dose fractions, could be 'curative' or 'minimally effective' depending on kinetic properties. For example, as others have shown, in myeloma pulsed intermittent therapy is often more effective than low dose continuous therapy. According to our model this finding is compatible with a high coefficient of inheritability of resistance from one cell generation to the next. The model also suggests that if there are subclones of varying resistance, a therapy must have some effect on each of them if it is to be employed in a curative fashion. While many aspects of the model are not yet clinically testable, exploration of its concepts might increase knowledge about fundamental neoplastic mechanisms.