Abstract
The karst peak-cluster depression basin in southwestern Guangxi, characterized by a fragile ecological environment and intensive human activities, is characterized by rocky desertification and ecological function degradation. This degradation not only impairs the region’s ecological integrity but also limits its ecological and welfare benefits. Traditionally, the estimation of soil conservation service supply and demand in karst areas relies on internationally recognized models, which often exclude the critical factor of karst desertification. This omission introduces significant uncertainty in the assessment of soil supply and demand in karst terrains. To address this gap, our study employs an adapted revised universal soil loss equation model tailored for karst regions to conduct a quantitative analysis of the soil supply–demand relationship in southwestern Guangxi. We explore its spatiotemporal evolution and spatial matching characteristics utilizing geographic detectors to identify the driving factors influencing the ecological supply-to-demand ratio (ESDR). Our findings revealed the following: (1) From 2000 to 2020, the soil conservation supply–demand ratio in the study area showed a fluctuating upward trend, with an overall increase of approximately 63.29%. Specifically, there was a fluctuating increase from 2000 to 2008 and from 2013 to 2020, while a downward trend was observed from 2009 to 2012. (2) The predominant matching pattern of the soil conservation services in the research area was “low supply, low demand”, which was primarily located in the southeastern part of southwestern Guangxi. (3) The supply–demand relationship of soil conservation services is significantly influenced by factors such as vegetation coverage, slope, soil type, and lithology, with each factor exhibiting a marked interactive effect on the ESDR. This study evaluates and reveals the supply–demand relationship and driving mechanisms of soil conservation services in the karst region of southwestern Guangxi, which contributes to the precise formulation of strategies for rocky desertification prevention and ecological restoration.
Published Version
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