Abstract
Mass gathering events (MGEs) are associated with the transmission of COVID-19. Between 6 and 10 March 2020, several MGEs related to the Falles festival took place in Borriana, a municipality in the province of Castellon (Spain). The aim of this study was to estimate the incidence of COVID-19 and its association with these MGEs, and to quantify the potential risk factors of its occurrence. During May and June 2020, a population-based retrospective cohort study was carried out by the Public Health Center of Castelló and the Hospital de la Plana in Vila-real. Participants were obtained from a representative sample of 1663 people with potential exposure at six MGEs. A questionnaire survey was carried out to obtain information about attendance at MGEs and COVID-19 disease. In addition, a serologic survey of antibodies against SARS-Cov-2 was implemented. Inverse probability weighted regression was used in the statistical analysis. A total of 1338 subjects participated in the questionnaire survey (80.5%), 997 of whom undertook the serologic survey. Five hundred and seventy cases were observed with an attack rate (AR) of 42.6%; average age was 36 years, 62.3% were female, 536 cases were confirmed by laboratory tests, and 514 cases were found with SARS-CoV-2 total antibodies. Considering MGE exposure, AR was 39.2% (496/1264). A dose-response relationship was found between MGE attendance and the disease, (adjusted relative risk [aRR] = 4.11 95% confidence interval [CI]3.25-5.19). Two MGEs with a dinner and dance in the same building had higher risks. Associated risk factors with the incidence were older age, obesity, and upper and middle class versus lower class; current smoking was protective. The study suggests the significance of MGEs in the COVID-19 transmission that could explain the subsequent outbreak in Borriana.
Highlights
Mass gathering events (MGEs) are important risk factors of severe acute respiratory coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) transmissions, which causes coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic [1]
Five hundred and seventy cases were observed with an attack rate (AR) of 42.6%; average age was 36 years, 62.3% were female, 536 cases were confirmed by laboratory tests, and 514 cases were found with SARS-CoV-2 total antibodies
The study suggests the significance of MGEs in the COVID-19 transmission that could explain the subsequent outbreak in Borriana
Summary
Mass gathering events (MGEs) are important risk factors of severe acute respiratory coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) transmissions, which causes coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic [1]. The crucial role of MGEs in the global propagation of the disease has been evidenced in several countries, including China [3], Iran [4], Malaysia [5], Italy [6], Spain [7], France [8], Germany [9], Jordan [10], Malta [11], Switzerland [12], and Malawi [13]. Significant international efforts have been made to implement specific measures, risk assessment and surveillance, and event cancellations in order to prevent the spread of SARSCoV-2 from MGEs [14–17]. The propagation of SARS-CoV-3 in these MGEs was measured with the basic reproductive number (Ro), which reflects the efficiency of transmission of the disease [18], and “is defined as the expected number of secondary cases produced by a single (typical) infection in a completely susceptible population” [19].
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