Abstract
toward unpredictability and rapid change of sentiment and power is manifested by aggregate trends in a variety of indicators: the declining strength of the major political parties, the rising absention rates, and split-ticket voting. While there is abundant evidence from aggregate voting statistics and from the marginal percentages of public opinion polls showing that such trends exist, the more difficult tasks of identifying the causes and consequences of volatility have barely begun. Indeed, it has not yet been established whether these indicators of
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