Abstract

Markov chains provide a useful modeling tool for determining expected profits or costs associated with certain types of systems. The key characteristic that allows for a Markov model is a probability law in which the future behavior of the system is independent of the past behavior given the present condition of the system. When this Markov property is present, the dynamics of the process can be described by a matrix containing the one-step transition probabilities and a vector of initial conditions. In some circumstances, the transition probabilities may depend on decisions made just before the transition time. Furthermore, not only the transition probabilities, but also associated costs or profits per transition may depend on decisions made at the transition times. For example, consider a slight variation of the first homework problem from Chap. 5.

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