Abstract
Commercial transport is often referred to as an early market for plug-in electric vehicles (PEVs). In comparison to private transport, commercial transport with passenger cars is characterized by higher vehicle kilometers traveled (VKT) forming an important factor for a quick pay-off of PEVs. In this paper, we analyze multi-day driving profiles of German passenger cars and light-duty commercial vehicles from the commercial transport sector. These commercial vehicles amount to almost two thirds of the annual vehicle registrations in Germany and thus form an important market segment. Our analysis shows that about 30 % of German commercial vehicles could be economically operated as PEVs in 2020. However, it becomes apparent that energy and battery prices have a high impact on the future market share of plug-in electric vehicles in this segment.
Highlights
Motorized transport is responsible for large shares in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in Germany and worldwide
Many research projects focus on specific examples of commercial transport such as parcel service providers, nursing services or taxis, while this paper aims to determine the potential for plug-in electric vehicles within German commercial traffic sector as a whole
The aim of this paper is to provide an analysis for the future market potential of plug-in electric vehicles in German commercial passenger transport sector
Summary
Motorized transport is responsible for large shares in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in Germany and worldwide. The transport sector can be divided into private and commercial traffic, there is no common definition for commercial traffic at the moment [2]. In this work a vehicle is considered to be a part of the commercial transport sector if it is registered to a commercial vehicle owner. Using this definition the private sector embraces 90 % of the overall German vehicle fleet in stock, EVS27 International Battery, Hybrid and Fuel Cell Electric Vehicle Symposium while the largest part of registration of new vehicles can be ascribed to the commercial sector, which accounts for 60 % of all annual registrations [5, 6]. In table 1 we give more examples about the different characteristics, such as the shorter holding time, the larger motor sizes and the higher amount of vehicle kilometers driven (VKT) during the week and on weekends of commercially licensed vehicles
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