Market Analysis on Civil Aviation of China after Joining Aviation Alliance

Abstract

With China Eastern joined Sky Team Alliance in 2011, the three biggest state-owned airlines in China have all joined aviation alliance. After joining aviation alliance, both the domestic and international markets of China's civil aviation co mpany will change. This paper studies the domestic and international change separately, first use grey prediction method to predict the future domestic transportation target and fleet scale, meanwhile evaluate domestic market change by taking code sharing and China's civil aviation layout into consideration. While evaluating international market, use population mutual competition model to predict international market share variation tendency in aviation alliance, and use the Shapley value on the market share for equitable distribution. Finally get the international market share change, thus to provide theoretical reference to civil aviation of China joining aviation alliance.