Marine heatwaves in the Arabian Sea

Abstract

Abstract. Marine heatwaves (MHWs) are prolonged warm sea condition events that can have a destructive impact on marine ecosystems. The documentation of MHWs and assessment of their impacts is largely confined to a few regional seas or to global mean studies. The north Indian Ocean received almost no attention in this regard despite the fact that this ocean basin, particularly the Arabian Sea, has been warming at the most rapid pace among the other tropical basins in recent decades. This study shows the characteristics of MHW events for the Arabian Sea during 1982–2019. Our analysis shows that the duration (frequency) of MHWs exhibits a rapidly increasing trend of ∼20 d per decade (1.5–2 events per decade) in the northern Arabian Sea and the southeastern Arabian Sea close to the west coast of India, which is a multifold increase in MHW days (frequency) from the 80s. Notably, since the beginning of the satellite record, the years 2010 and 2016 have exhibited the maximum number of heatwave days when more than 75 % of days of the pre-monsoon and summer monsoon season experience heatwaves. The accelerated trend of the heatwave days is found to be driven by the rapid rise in the mean sea surface temperature (SST) of the Arabian Sea in the recent decade. Moreover, longer heatwave days are also associated with dominant climate modes. Among them, the Indian Ocean Basin Mode via the decaying phase of El Niño is the most influential mode contributing to more than 70 %–80 % of observed heatwave days in this basin. Further analysis of the most prolonged observed heatwave during April–June 2010 indicates that surface heat flux associated with the weaker latent heat loss and the shallow mixed layer was the primary cause of this event. Further, we note that the pre-monsoon cyclonic storms in the Arabian Sea often contribute to the waning of such heatwaves in the basin.