Maremar, prevalence of chronic kidney disease, how to avoid over-diagnosis and under-diagnosis

Abstract

Chronic kidney disease is considered as a major public health problem. Recent studies mention a prevalence rate between 8%–12%. Several editorials, comments, short reviews described the weaknesses (lack of confirmation of proteinuria, and of chronicity of decreased estimated glomerular filtration rate) of a substantial number of studies and the irrational of using a single arbitrary set point, i.e. diagnosis of chronic kidney disease whenever the estimated glomerular filtration rate is less than 60mL/min/1.73m2. Maremar (Maladies rénales chroniques au Maroc) is a prevalence study of chronic kidney disease, hypertension, diabetes and obesity in a randomized, representative, high response rate (85%), sample of the adult population of Morocco, strictly applying the Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) criteria. Compared to the vast majority of the available studies, Maremar has a low prevalence of chronic kidney disease (2.9% adjusted to the actual adult population of Morocco). The population pyramid, and particularly the confirmation of proteinuria and “chronicity” of the decreased estimated glomerular filtration rate are the main reasons for this low prevalence of chronic kidney disease. The choice of arbitrary single threshold of estimated glomerular filtration rate for classifying stage 3–5 chronic kidney disease inevitably leads to “over-diagnosis” (false positives) of the disease in the elderly, particularly those without proteinuria, hematuria or hypertension, and to “under-diagnosed” (false negatives) in younger individuals with an estimated glomerular filtration rate above 60mL/min/1.73m2 and below the 3rd percentile of their age/gender category. There is an urgent need for quality studies using in a correct way the recent KDIGO guidelines when investigating the prevalence of chronic kidney disease, in order to avoid a 50 to 100% overestimation of a disease state with potential dramatic consequences. The combination of the general population screening encompassing four different major health problems in the same screening procedure, using the correct methodologies and procedures, combined with a prevention/follow-up program results in a clinically/scientifically relevant program.