Abstract
Abstract. An online survey was used to map the needs and preferences of the Finnish general public concerning extended-range forecasts and their presentation. First analyses of the survey were used to guide the co-design process of novel extended-range forecasts to be developed and tested during the project. In addition, the survey was used to engage the respondents from the general public to participate in a one year piloting phase that started in June 2017. The respondents considered that the tailored extended-range forecasts would be beneficial in planning activities, preparing for the weather risks and scheduling the everyday life. The respondents also perceived the information about the impacts of weather conditions more important than advice on how to prepare for the impacts.
Highlights
The survey was used to engage the respondents from the general public to participate in a one year piloting phase that started in June 2017
As part of developing the climate services, much focus has been put on the extended-range forecasts (ERF; up to 46 days) and long-range or seasonal forecasts (LRF; 1– 7 months)
As monthly and seasonal forecast products are often considered to be less used by the general public, it can be assumed that a lot of respondents took the survey as they were interested in the topic of extended-range forecasts to begin with
Summary
As part of developing the climate services, much focus has been put on the extended-range forecasts (ERF; up to 46 days) and long-range or seasonal forecasts (LRF; 1– 7 months). The use of ERF and LRF in decision-making processes is still relatively new in Europe and fairly underutilized or not used at all in many sectors (Bruno Soares and Dessai, 2016; Soares et al, 2017). One reason for this is the low reliability and skill of the forecasts in Europe. There are many challenges remaining, the progress in developing the ERF and LRF forecasts is fast This improves the opportunities of developing user-oriented climate services (Vitart et al, 2017). When asked which of the currently provided long-range forecast services the respondents knew and were using already, the three most mentioned were the FMI monthly forecasts, the FMI seasonal forecasts and other providers’ monthly forecasts (Table 2)
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