Abstract

With global change, forest trees will be exposed to increasing stress in the coming decades with various studies demonstrating that stress-related mortality will increase in forests. While tree death can be triggered by a single factor, it is often caused by the accumulation and the complex interaction of various stressors. Several silvicultural strategies have been developed to cope with global change but very few studies have addressed the ways in which silvicultural regimes interact with various stressors to influence tree mortality. This lack of research on the effects of forest management regimes on tree mortality may be due to the challenge of acquiring large (or long-term) datasets to assess tree mortality in forests. Within this context and using a mobile terrestrial LiDAR approach for rapid 3D-mapping of forest stands, we aimed to (i) compare recent tree mortality patterns in temperate forests among contrasting forest management regimes (even-aged silviculture, uneven-aged silviculture and unmanaged forests), and (ii) evaluate the relative influence of regeneration harvest severity on tree mortality compared to other spatially explicit factors (i.e., localized competition and slope position) and non-spatially explicit factors (i.e. tree DBH -diameter at breast height- and tree species group). In a permanent sample plot network, we mapped 15 508 dead and living trees (>9.1 cm DBH) within 37 sugar maple-dominated stands: 14 even-aged, 16 uneven-aged and 7 unmanaged stands. We separated the relative role of forest management on individual tree mortality from other factors such as size, species, slope position, and localized competition by modeling the probability of mortality for each tree. Localized competition or slope position were not significant factors describing tree mortality. Results showed that tree mortality was influenced by tree species, DBH and forest management regime. Models indicated that forest management regime, by itself, had a strong effect on tree mortality proportion. Results also indicated that trees in uneven-aged stands had a higher probability of dying than the those in even-aged or unmanaged stands. However, we do not advocate for the replacement of uneven-aged regimes in favour of even-aged ones. Instead, we believe that, in the context of global change, adjustments should be made to uneven-aged regimes to reduce risk of mortality. Moreover, our study reinforces the idea that silviculture can be applied in such a way as to enhance stand resistance and resilience to cope with global change; for example, by influencing size structure and species composition, which greatly influence tree mortality.

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