Mapping study of papillary thyroid carcinoma in China: Predicting EQ-5D-5L utility values from FACT-H&N.

Abstract

To develop a mapping algorithm that can be used to predict EQ-5D-5L health utility scores from FACT-H&N and obtain health utility parameters for Chinese patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC), which can be used for cost-utility analysis in health economic. A total of 1,050 patients with PTC from a tertiary hospital in China were included, and they completed FACT-H&N and EQ-5D-5L. Four mapping algorithms of direct mapping functions were used to derive the models: Ordinary least squares (OLS), Tobit model (Tobit), Two-part model (TPM), and Beta mixture regression model (Beta). The goodness-of-fit of models was assessed by the mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), Akaike information criteria (AIC), Bayesian information criteria (BIC), and absolute error (AE). A fivefold cross-validation method was used to test the stability of the models. The mean utility value of the EQ-5D-5L was 0.870 ± 0.094. The mean EQ-VAS score was 76.5 ± 13.0. The Beta mixture regression model mapping FACT-H&N to EQ-5D-5L achieved the best performance [fivefold cross-validation MAE = 0.04612, RMSE = 0.06829, AIC = -2480.538, BIC = -2381.137, AE > 0.05 (%) = 32.48, AE > 0.1 (%) = 8.95]. The independent variables in this model were Physical Well-Being (PWB), Emotional Well-Being (EWB), Head & Neck Cancer Subscale (HNCS) scores and its square term and interaction term scores. This study calculated the health utility score of Chinese patients with PTC. The reported algorithms can be used to map the FACT-H&N into the EQ-5D-5L, which can be applied in the cost-utility related study of patients with PTC.