Abstract

The management of soil organic carbon (SOC) stocks remains at the forefront of greenhouse gas mitigation. However, unprecedented anthropogenic disturbances emanating from continued land-use change have significantly altered SOC distribution across global biomes leading to considerable carbon losses. Consequently, understanding the spatial distribution of SOC across different biomes, particularly at larger scales, is critical for climate change policy formulation and planning. Advancements in remote sensing, availability of big data, and deep learning architecture offer great potential in large-scale SOC mapping. In this regard, this study mapped SOC distribution across South Africa's major biomes using remotely sensed-topo-climatic data and Concrete Autoencoder-Deep neural networks (CAE-DNN). From the different deep neural frameworks tested, the CAE-DNN model (developed from 26 selected covariates) achieved the best accuracy with an RMSE value of 7.91 t/ha (about 20 % of the mean). Results further showed that SOC stock correlated with general biome coverage, as the Grassland and Savanna biomes contributed the most (32.38 % and 31.28 %) to the overall SOC pool in South Africa. However, despite their smaller footprint, Forests (44.12 t/h) and the Indian Ocean Coastal Belt (43.05 t/h) biomes demonstrated the highest SOC sequestration capacity. The restoration of degraded biomes is advocated for, in order to boost SOC storage; but a balance between carbon sequestration capacity, biodiversity health, and the adequate provision of ecosystem services must be maintained. To this end, these findings provide a guideline to facilitate sustainable SOC stock management within South Africa's major biomes and indeed other regions of the world.

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