Abstract

Pre-harvest fruit yield estimation is useful to guide harvesting and marketing resourcing, but machine vision estimates based on a single view from each side of the tree (“dual-view”) underestimates the fruit yield as fruit can be hidden from view. A method is proposed involving deep learning, Kalman filter, and Hungarian algorithm for on-tree mango fruit detection, tracking, and counting from 10 frame-per-second videos captured of trees from a platform moving along the inter row at 5 km/h. The deep learning based mango fruit detection algorithm, MangoYOLO, was used to detect fruit in each frame. The Hungarian algorithm was used to correlate fruit between neighbouring frames, with the improvement of enabling multiple-to-one assignment. The Kalman filter was used to predict the position of fruit in following frames, to avoid multiple counts of a single fruit that is obscured or otherwise not detected with a frame series. A “borrow” concept was added to the Kalman filter to predict fruit position when its precise prediction model was absent, by borrowing the horizontal and vertical speed from neighbouring fruit. By comparison with human count for a video with 110 frames and 192 (human count) fruit, the method produced 9.9% double counts and 7.3% missing count errors, resulting in around 2.6% over count. In another test, a video (of 1162 frames, with 42 images centred on the tree trunk) was acquired of both sides of a row of 21 trees, for which the harvest fruit count was 3286 (i.e., average of 156 fruit/tree). The trees had thick canopies, such that the proportion of fruit hidden from view from any given perspective was high. The proposed method recorded 2050 fruit (62% of harvest) with a bias corrected Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) = 18.0 fruit/tree while the dual-view image method (also using MangoYOLO) recorded 1322 fruit (40%) with a bias corrected RMSE = 21.7 fruit/tree. The video tracking system is recommended over the dual-view imaging system for mango orchard fruit count.

Highlights

  • A mango harvest yield prediction is ideally made six weeks before harvest, after the period of fruit drop in fruit development, to inform harvesting and marketing decisions [1]

  • Mango tree fruit load is variable within a given orchard and season, such that a statistically valid estimate of pre-harvest crop load requires the assessment of a large number of trees [3]

  • We propose that a Kalman filter can be used to predict fruit movement, accommodating camera rotation, and change in scale, as well as the linear translation of position

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Summary

Introduction

A mango harvest yield prediction is ideally made six weeks before harvest, after the period of fruit drop in fruit development, to inform harvesting and marketing decisions [1]. Mango tree fruit load is variable within a given orchard and season, such that a statistically valid estimate of pre-harvest crop load requires the assessment of a large number of trees [3]. Given the required number of trees for a statistically valid estimate of average fruit load, the use of field counts by human operators is impractical [3]. Sensors 2019, 19, 2742 images of tree canopies has been trialed for tree fruit yield estimation by a number of research groups. When fruit colour is distinct to foliage, a simple segmentation method using colour features can be successful for fruit detection. Zaman et al [4] used colour features in the estimation of blueberry yield, with a high R2 of 0.99 achieved, likely due to the distinct blue colour of the fruit

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