Abstract

Nuno, A., N. Bunnefeld, and E. Milner-Gulland. 2014. Managing social–ecological systems under uncertainty: implementation in the real world. Ecology and Society 19(2): 52. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-06490-190252

Highlights

  • Traditional approaches to natural resource management and conservation often assume that managers can accurately predict system responses to their actions and to external drivers (Walker et al 2002)

  • Uncertainty is recognized as a feature of natural resource management, little attention has been given to the uncertainty generated by institutional settings, historical contingency, and individual people’s influence

  • Using the conservation of species hunted for bushmeat in the Serengeti as a case study, we investigated the challenges and potential barriers to successful implementation of natural resource management policies

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Summary

Introduction

Traditional approaches to natural resource management and conservation often assume that managers can accurately predict system responses to their actions and to external drivers (Walker et al 2002). Institutional complexity has been suggested as a driver of inefficient use of resources and intervention ineffectiveness when addressing desertification in Mediterranean countries (Briassoulis 2004). These institutional and implementation uncertainties, related to the translation of policy into practice and arising from interactions between different groups and the different sets of rules governing their behavior (Cochrane 1999, Bunnefeld et al 2011), may greatly affect conservation outcomes and managers’ ability to design effective strategies (Young 1998, Harwood and Stokes 2003, Fulton et al 2011)

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