Abstract

Many systems that must be manufactured and supported for long time periods lack control over critical portions of their supply chains; these systems include: military, avionics, industrial controls, and rail infrastructure. During the long lifetimes of these systems the components, technologies and resources that the systems depend on become obsolete (and potentially unavailable) before the system’s demand for them is exhausted. The life-cycle (or through-life) cost associated with managing obsolescence can be prohibitive if the problem is ignored. This chapter describes the obsolescence problem, methods of forecasting obsolescence and management solutions applied to hardware, software, and human skills.

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