Abstract

The increase in incidence of malignant melanoma, early diagnosis activities increasingly reaching ever larger population groups and mortality remaining at a constant level in trend comprise the background of the study. We aimed at answering the question whether the early diagnosis can have an influence on the increase in incidence and how one can one judge the effect on the reduction of the mortality. The study is based on data from official tumour registries of the regions Saarland, Schleswig-Holstein, the administrative district Münster, the former GDR and the New Dfederal states (Berlin, Brandenburg, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, Sachsen, Sachsen-Anhalt, Thüringen), as well as that of Queensland (Australia). Parallel to the increasing incidence, there is also an increase in the number of melanomas detected at early stages. Hence, it is obvious to assume that this increase in incidence is due to a large extent to screening programmes. In a non-determinable number of cases, overdiagnostics could have contributed to the increase in incidence. In the period of observation mortality remained constant in the regions described in this study. It can be assumed the mortality risk is influenced by tumours with a high degree of malignancy whose share in the number of melanomas remains roughly constant. The early diagnosis of cancer, the inclusion of increasingly larger groups of the populations in the regions described, and constant mortality rates for men and women during the period of observation all relate the use of early diagnosis. If the efficiency of population screening is measured against the outcome reduction of the mortality rate, it appears to be sufficient to continue cancer early detection according to SGB V § 25. A preventive check-up is indicated for risk groups, e. g., those with a positive familiar history or if potentially malignant skin alterations have been diagnosed.

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