Abstract

To determine the overall survival (OS) and prognostic factors influencing outcomes in children and adolescents with malignant extracranial germ cell tumours (MEGCTs) in preparation for the development of a harmonised national treatment protocol. A retrospective folder review was undertaken at nine South African paediatric oncology units to document patient profiles, tumour and treatment-related data and outcomes for all children with biopsy-proven MEGCTs from birth up to and including 16years of age. Between 1 January 2000 and 31 December 2015, 218 patients were diagnosed with MEGCTs. Female sex (hazard ratio [HR] 0.284, p=.037) and higher socio-economic status (SES) (HR 0.071, p=.039) were associated with a significantly lower risk of death. Advanced clinical stage at diagnosis significantly affected 5-year OS: stage I: 96%; stage II: 94.3%; stage III: 75.5% (p=.017) and stage IV (60.1%; p<.001). There was a significant association between earlier stage at presentation and higher SES (p=.03). Patients with a serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level of more than 33,000ng/ml at diagnosis had significantly poorer outcomes (p=.002). The use of chemotherapy significantly improved survival, irrespective of the regimen used (p<.001). The cohort demonstrated a 5-year OS of 80.3% with an event-free survival (EFS) of 75.3%. Stage, the use of chemotherapy and an elevated serum AFP level of more than 33,000ng/ml were independently predictive of outcome. The relationship between SES and outcome is important as the implementation of the new national protocol hopes to standardise care across the socio-economic divide.

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