Abstract

SummaryBackgroundIn neonatal encephalopathy, the clinical manifestations of injury can only be reliably assessed several years after an intervention, complicating early prognostication and rendering trials of promising neuroprotectants slow and expensive. We aimed to determine the accuracy of thalamic proton magnetic resonance (MR) spectroscopy (MRS) biomarkers as early predictors of the neurodevelopmental abnormalities observed years after neonatal encephalopathy.MethodsWe did a prospective multicentre cohort study across eight neonatal intensive care units in the UK and USA, recruiting term and near-term neonates who received therapeutic hypothermia for neonatal encephalopathy. We excluded infants with life-threatening congenital malformations, syndromic disorders, neurometabolic diseases, or any alternative diagnoses for encephalopathy that were apparent within 6 h of birth. We obtained T1-weighted, T2-weighted, and diffusion-weighted MRI and thalamic proton MRS 4–14 days after birth. Clinical neurodevelopmental tests were done 18–24 months later. The primary outcome was the association between MR biomarkers and an adverse neurodevelopmental outcome, defined as death or moderate or severe disability, measured using a multivariable prognostic model. We used receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves to examine the prognostic accuracy of the individual biomarkers. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT01309711.FindingsBetween Jan 29, 2013, and June 25, 2016, we recruited 223 infants who all underwent MRI and MRS at a median age of 7 days (IQR 5–10), with 190 (85%) followed up for neurological examination at a median age of 23 months (20–25). Of those followed up, 31 (16%) had moderate or severe disability, including one death. Multiple logistic regression analysis could not be done because thalamic N-acetylaspartate (NAA) concentration alone accurately predicted an adverse neurodevelopmental outcome (area under the curve [AUC] of 0·99 [95% CI 0·94–1·00]; sensitivity 100% [74–100]; specificity 97% [90–100]; n=82); the models would not converge when any additional variable was examined. The AUC (95% CI) of clinical examination at 6 h (n=190) and at discharge (n=167) were 0·72 (0·65–0·78) and 0·60 (0·53–0·68), respectively, and the AUC of abnormal amplitude integrated EEG at 6 h (n=169) was 0·73 (0·65–0·79). On conventional MRI (n=190), cortical injury had an AUC of 0·67 (0·60–0·73), basal ganglia or thalamic injury had an AUC of 0·81 (0·75–0·87), and abnormal signal in the posterior limb of internal capsule (PLIC) had an AUC of 0·82 (0·76–0·87). Fractional anisotropy of PLIC (n=65) had an AUC of 0·82 (0·76–0·87). MRS metabolite peak-area ratios (n=160) of NAA–creatine (<1·29) had an AUC of 0·79 (0·72–0·85), of NAA–choline had an AUC of 0·74 (0·66–0·80), and of lactate–NAA (>0·22) had an AUC of 0·94 (0·89–0·97).InterpretationThalamic proton MRS measures acquired soon after birth in neonatal encephalopathy had the highest accuracy to predict neurdevelopment 2 years later. These methods could be applied to increase the power of neuroprotection trials while reducing their duration.FundingNational Institute for Health Research UK.

Highlights

  • Neonatal encephalopathy affects 2–8 in every 1000 livebirths and carries a high risk of death or severe disability.[1]

  • We examined the references and bibliographies from retrieved articles. 42 single-centre prospective or retrospective studies compared proton magnetic resonance (MR) spectroscopy (MRS) metabolite peak-area ratios in infants with neonatal encephalopathy with neurodevelopmental outcome at 12 months or older, of which four examined absolute metabolite concentrations

  • Between Jan 29, 2013, and June 25, 2016, magnetic resonance biomarkers in neonatal en­ cephalopathy (MARBLE) recruited a total of 223 infants, of whom 190 (85%) had neurodevelopmental outcome assessments for analysis at a median age of 23 months (IQR 20–25)

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Summary

Introduction

Neonatal encephalopathy affects 2–8 in every 1000 livebirths and carries a high risk of death or severe disability.[1]. More than a dozen putative neuro­protectants are awaiting clinical evaluation on the evi­dence of promising preclinical work.[3] Thalamic proton magnetic resonance (MR) spectroscopy (MRS), obtained within days or weeks of the initial injury, gives insight into the metabolic effects of neonatal encephalopathy. 42 single-centre prospective or retrospective studies (the largest prospective study including 33 infants) compared proton magnetic resonance (MR) spectroscopy (MRS) metabolite peak-area ratios in infants with neonatal encephalopathy with neurodevelopmental outcome at 12 months or older, of which four examined absolute metabolite concentrations. Four retrospective studies compared the proton MRS in encephalopathic infants who had therapeutic hypothermia with later neurodevelopmental outcomes, of which only two used 3·0 Tesla MR scanners. The lack of generalisability in these studies resulted in minimal clinical impact

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