Abstract

This article provides a case study that analyzes national macroprudential insurance regulation in Switzerland. We consider an insurance market that is based on data from the Swiss private insurance industry. We stress this market with several scenarios related to financial and insurance risks, and we analyze the resulting risk capitals of the insurance companies. This stress-test analysis provides insights into the vulnerability of the Swiss private insurance sector to different risks and shocks.

Highlights

  • The insurance market is an important sector to the real economy

  • We will shock these by stressing risk factors which we categorize into two groups: in Section 3.1 we consider financial market risk factors, and in Section 3.2 we consider other risk factors that do not directly impact the total market capitalizations, such as biometric risks and risks arising from policyholder behavior

  • Since we study a local market with domestic currency choose Swiss franc (CHF), we only focus on assets with this underlying currency

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Summary

Introduction

The insurance market is an important sector to the real economy. On the one hand, insurance companies provide financial services such as protection against financial losses and channeling savings into investments. It is of great importance that the insurance industry as a whole is resilient to adverse scenarios This motivates us to consider the (Swiss) insurance market from a macroprudential perspective. This macroprudential analysis provides insights into the ability of the Swiss insurance market to absorb or to augment different risks and shocks. We introduce an insurance market that has features similar to those of the Swiss market, see Section 5 for details We stress this market with different scenarios and analyze their impacts on the balance sheet positions of the insurance companies

Insurance Market and Balance Sheet Structure
Insurance and Financial Market
Balance Sheet Structure
Risk Factors and Their Impact on the Market
Market Risk Factors
Further Risk Factors and Cascade Effects
Network Effects Followed from Changes in Risk Factors
Case Study Based on Data from the Swiss Private Insurance Market
Financial Market Scenarios
Conclusion
Real Estate Market Crash Together with Cascade Effects
Failure of Reinsurers in a Stressed Market Situation
Longevity and Underreserving
Terrorist Attack
Pandemic Event and a Big Earthquake
Findings
Conclusions
Full Text
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