Abstract

We apply the Support Vector Regression (SVR) machine learning model to estimate surface roughness on a large alluvial fan of the Kosi River in the Himalayan Foreland from satellite images. To train the model, we used input features such as radar backscatter values in Vertical–Vertical (VV) and Vertical–Horizontal (VH) polarisation, incidence angle from Sentinel-1, Normalised Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) from Sentinel-2, and surface elevation from Shuttle Radar Topographic Mission (SRTM). We generated additional features (VH/VV and VH–VV) through a linear data fusion of the existing features. For the training and validation of our model, we conducted a field campaign during 11–20 December 2019. We measured surface roughness at 78 different locations over the entire fan surface using an in-house-developed mechanical pin-profiler. We used the regression tree ensemble approach to assess the relative importance of individual input feature to predict the surface soil roughness from SVR model. We eliminated the irrelevant input features using an iterative backward elimination approach. We then performed feature sensitivity to evaluate the riskiness of the selected features. Finally, we applied the dimension reduction and scaling to minimise the data redundancy and bring them to a similar level. Based on these, we proposed five SVR methods (PCA-NS-SVR, PCA-CM-SVR, PCA-ZM-SVR, PCA-MM-SVR, and PCA-S-SVR). We trained and evaluated the performance of all variants of SVR with a 60:40 ratio using the input features and the in-situ surface roughness. We compared the performance of SVR models with six different benchmark machine learning models (i.e., Gaussian Process Regression (GPR), Generalised Regression Neural Network (GRNN), Binary Decision Tree (BDT), Bragging Ensemble Learning, Boosting Ensemble Learning, and Automated Machine Learning (AutoML)). We observed that the PCA-MM-SVR perform better with a coefficient of correlation (R = 0.74), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE = 0.16 cm), and Mean Square Error (MSE = 0.025 cm2). To ensure a fair selection of the machine learning model, we evaluated the Akaike’s Information Criterion (AIC), corrected AIC (AICc), and Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC). We observed that SVR exhibits the lowest values of AIC, corrected AIC, and BIC of all the other methods; this indicates the best goodness-of-fit. Eventually, we also compared the result of PCA-MM-SVR with the surface roughness estimated from different empirical and semi-empirical radar backscatter models. The accuracy of the PCA-MM-SVR model is better than the backscatter models. This study provides a robust approach to measure surface roughness at high spatial and temporal resolutions solely from the satellite data.

Highlights

  • Introduction distributed under the terms andSurface soil roughness is an important parameter in many environmental applications, such as: agronomy, geomorphology, hydrology, meteorology, and climate change modeling [1,2]

  • Our results show that the Principal Component Analysis (PCA)-MM-Support Vector Regression (SVR) predicts surface soil roughness more accurately compared to the other variants of SVR models

  • Among the AutoML variants, we found that PCA-Z-score Mean (ZM)-AutoML ranks third in terms of performance evaluation by outperforming all other variants, with R = 0.59, RMSE = 0.20 cm, Akaike’s Information Criterion (AIC) = 291.05, AICc = −225.70, and Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) = 784.04

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Summary

Introduction

Introduction distributed under the terms andSurface soil roughness is an important parameter in many environmental applications, such as: agronomy, geomorphology, hydrology, meteorology, and climate change modeling [1,2]. Surface roughness measured in the horizontal scale is subject to large variability and uncertainty as compared to the vertical scale [3]. This is probably one reason that RMS height is used in the inversion of various backscattering models [4]. The surface roughness (RMS height) is considered a highly sensitive parameter in modeling soil moisture from the Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) images [5]. It is important to have an accurate measurement of surface roughness in order to model the soil moisture from SAR images [6]

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