Machine learning models for predicting thermal desorption remediation of soils contaminated with polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons

Abstract

Among various remediation methods for organic-contaminated soil, thermal desorption stands out due to its broad treatment range and high efficiency. Nonetheless, analyzing the contribution of factors in complex soil remediation systems and deducing the results under multiple conditions are challenging, given the complexities arising from diverse soil properties, heating conditions, and contaminant types. Machine learning (ML) methods serve as a powerful analytical tool that can extract meaningful insights from datasets and reveal hidden relationships. Due to insufficient research on soil thermal desorption for remediation of organic sites using ML methods, this study took organic pollutants represented by polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) as the research object and sorted out a comprehensive data set containing >700 data points on the thermal desorption of soil contaminated with PAHs from published literature. Several ML models, including artificial neural network (ANN), random forest (RF), and support vector regression (SVR), were applied. Model optimization and regression fitting centered on soil remediation efficiency, with feature importance analysis conducted on soil and contaminant properties and heating conditions. This approach enabled the quantitative evaluation and prediction of thermal desorption remediation effects on soil contaminated with PAHs. Results indicated that ML models, particularly the RF model (R2 = 0.90), exhibited high accuracy in predicting remediation efficiency. The hierarchical significance of the features within the RF model is elucidated as follows: heating conditions account for 52 %, contaminant properties for 28 %, and soil properties for 20 % of the model's predictive power. A comprehensive analysis suggests that practical applications should emphasize heating conditions for efficient soil remediation. This research provides a crucial reference for optimizing and implementing thermal desorption in the quest for more efficient and reliable soil remediation strategies.