Machine learning for multidimensional response and survival after cardiac resynchronization therapy using features from cardiac magnetic resonance.

Abstract

Cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) response is complex, and better approaches are required to predict survival and need for advanced therapies. The objective was to use machine learning to characterize multidimensional CRT response and its relationship with long-term survival. Associations of 39 baseline features (including cardiac magnetic resonance [CMR] findings and clinical parameters such as glomerular filtration rate [GFR]) with a multidimensional CRT response vector (consisting of post-CRT left ventricular end-systolic volume index [LVESVI] fractional change, post-CRT B-type natriuretic peptide, and change in peak VO2) were evaluated. Machine learning generated response clusters, and cross-validation assessed associations of clusters with 4-year survival. Among 200 patients (median age 67.4 years, 27.0% women) with CRT and CMR, associations with more than 1 response parameter were noted for the CMR CURE-SVD dyssynchrony parameter (associated with post-CRT brain natriuretic peptide [BNP] and LVESVI fractional change) and GFR (associated with peak VO2 and post-CRT BNP). Machine learning defined 3 response clusters: cluster 1 (n = 123, 90.2% survival [best]), cluster 2 (n = 45, 60.0% survival [intermediate]), and cluster 3 (n = 32, 34.4% survival [worst]). Adding the 6-month response cluster to baseline features improved the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for 4-year survival from 0.78 to 0.86 (P = .02). A web-based application was developed for cluster determination in future patients. Machine learning characterizes distinct CRT response clusters influenced by CMR features, kidney function, and other factors. These clusters have a strong and additive influence on long-term survival relative to baseline features.