Abstract

In the case of a contamination event in water distribution networks, several studies have considered different methods to determine contamination scenario information. It would be greatly beneficial to know the exact number of contaminant injection locations since some methods can only be applied in the case of a single injection location and others have greater efficiency. In this work, the Neural Network and Random Forest classifying algorithms are used to predict the number of contaminant injection locations. The prediction model is trained with data obtained from simulated contamination event scenarios with random injection starting time, duration, concentration value, and the number of injection locations which varies from 1 to 4. Classification is made to determine if single or multiple injection locations occurred, and to predict the exact number of injection locations. Data was obtained for two different benchmark networks, medium-sized network Net3 and large-sized Richmond network. Additionally, an investigation of sensor layouts, demand uncertainty, and fuzzy sensors on model accuracy is conducted. The proposed approach shows excellent accuracy in predicting if single or multiple contaminant injections in a water supply network occurred and good accuracy for the exact number of injection locations.

Highlights

  • Contamination in water distribution networks can occur due to deliberate or unintentional intrusions and it is of extreme importance to determine the contamination event parameters so it can be detected which parts of water distribution networks have been exposed to the contaminant and needed measures can be conducted

  • The influence of input data on prediction model accuracy is investigated for both benchmark networks where data ranged from 50,000 to 500,000 inputs (Figure 6)

  • An investigation is conducted for prediction model with 2 categories and with 4 categories

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Summary

Introduction

Contamination in water distribution networks can occur due to deliberate or unintentional intrusions and it is of extreme importance to determine the contamination event parameters so it can be detected which parts of water distribution networks have been exposed to the contaminant and needed measures can be conducted. This is considered to be an inverse problem since injection location, injection starting time, injection duration, and contaminant chemical concentration value needs to be predicted based on sensor measurements. EPANET extension EPANET-BAM [3]

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