Machine learning-based prognosis signature for survival prediction of patients with clear cell renal cell carcinoma

Abstract

The sole clinicopathological characteristic is not enough for the prediction of survival of patients with clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC). However, the survival prediction model constructed by machine learning technology for patients with ccRCC using clinicopathological features is rarely reported yet. In this study, a total of 5878 patients diagnosed as ccRCC from four independent patient cohorts were recruited. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator analysis was implemented to identify optimal clinicopathological characteristics and calculate each coefficient to construct the prognosis model. In addition, weighted gene co-expression network and gene enrichment analysis associated with risk score were also carried out. Three clinicopathologic features were selected for the construction of the prognosis risk score model as the prognostic factors of ccRCC, including tumor size, tumor grade, and tumor stage. In the CPTAC (Clinical Proteomic Tumor Analysis Consortium) cohort, the General cohort, the SEER (Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results) cohort, and the Huashan cohort, patients with high-risk score had worse clinical outcomes than patients with low-risk score (hazard ratio 5.15, 4.64, 3.96, and 5.15, respectively). Further functional enrichment analysis demonstrated that our machine learning-based risk score was significantly connected with some cell proliferation-related pathways, consisting of DNA repair, cell division, and cell cycle. In summary, we developed and validated a machine learning-based prognosis prediction model, which might contribute to clinical decision-making for patients with ccRCC.