Machine Learning-Based Prediction of Clinical Outcomes in Microsurgical Clipping Treatments of Cerebral Aneurysms.

Abstract

Background: This study investigates the application of Machine Learning techniques to predict clinical outcomes in microsurgical clipping treatments of cerebral aneurysms, aiming to enhance healthcare processes through informed clinical decision making. Methods: Relying on a dataset of 344 patients' preoperative characteristics, various ML classifiers were trained to predict outcomes measured by the Glasgow Outcome Scale (GOS). The study's results were reported through the means of ROC-AUC scores for outcome prediction and the identification of key predictors using SHAP analysis. Results: The trained models achieved ROC-AUC scores of 0.72 ± 0.03 for specific GOS outcome prediction and 0.78 ± 0.02 for binary classification of outcomes. The SHAP explanation analysis identified intubation as the most impactful factor influencing treatment outcomes' predictions for the trained models. Conclusions: The study demonstrates the potential of ML for predicting surgical outcomes of ruptured cerebral aneurysm treatments. It acknowledged the need for high-quality datasets and external validation to enhance model accuracy and generalizability.