Abstract

In today’s rapidly evolving society, as technology continues to advance, various new forms and methods of crime emerge incessantly. It becomes particularly crucial to accurately predict future criminal behaviors. This paper delves into the study of forecasting home burglary crimes in the realm of property-related offenses. Utilizing a dataset of criminal cases, relevant variables with high correlation to crime prediction are selected as features. Through employing diverse machine learning algorithms, the likelihood of the occurrence of home burglary crimes is forecasted. Consequently, a crime prediction model specifically tailored for home burglary cases is constructed, and the accuracy of the model is evaluated. By using the accuracy of the model as the benchmark, the optimal crime prediction model is chosen, and a system is implemented for building and evaulating the model. Experimental results demonstrate that the developed crime prediction model is capable of effectively foreseeing home burglary crimes, thereby providing valuable support and scientific evidence for the prevention and handling of such criminal cases.

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