Machine learning-assisted extreme value statistics of anomalies in AlSi10Mg manufactured by L-PBF for robust fatigue strength predictions

Abstract

Traditional Extreme Value Statistics (EVS) applied to block maxima sampled anomalies of components produced by Laser-Powder Bed Fusion may produce important inaccuracies in the estimated characteristic defects. In fact, the typical presence of multiple defect types may significantly affect the fitted maxima distributions obtained from different sampling volumes. In this work, we show how the limitations of traditional EVS can be overcome by applying supervised machine learning (ML) algorithms to classify the defects before estimating the maxima distributions for each defect type. The ML-assisted EVS provided maxima distributions unaffected by the different sampling volumes. The obtained maxima distribution lead to robust estimates of exceedance curves and finally, by employing the Shiozawa curve, to robust fatigue strength predictions.