Machine learning approach for determining and optimizing influential factors of biogas production from lignocellulosic biomass

Abstract

Machine learning (ML) was used to predict specific methane yields (SMY) with a dataset of 14 features from lignocellulosic biomass (LB) characteristics and operating conditions of completely mixed reactors under continuous feeding mode. The random forest (RF) model was best suited for predicting SMY with a coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.85 and root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.06. Biomass compositions greatly influenced SMYs from LB, and cellulose prevailed over lignin and biomass ratio as the most important feature. Impact of LB to manure ratio was assessed to optimize biogas production with the RF model. Under typical organic loading rates (OLR), optimum LB to manure ratio of 1:1 was identified. Experimental results confirmed influential factors revealed by the RF model and provided the highest SMY of 79.2% of the predicted value. Successful applications of ML for anaerobic digestion modelling and optimization specifically for LB were revealed in this work.