Abstract

Drug-target residence times can impact drug efficacy and safety, and are therefore increasingly being considered during lead optimization. For this purpose, computational methods to predict residence times, τ, for drug-like compounds and to derive structure-kinetic relationships are desirable. A challenge for approaches based on molecular dynamics (MD) simulation is the fact that drug residence times are typically orders of magnitude longer than computationally feasible simulation times. Therefore, enhanced sampling methods are required. We recently reported one such approach: the τRAMD procedure for estimating relative residence times by performing a large number of random acceleration MD (RAMD) simulations in which ligand dissociation occurs in times of about a nanosecond due to the application of an additional randomly oriented force to the ligand. The length of the RAMD simulations is used to deduce τ. The RAMD simulations also provide information on ligand egress pathways and dissociation mechanisms. Here, we describe a machine learning approach to systematically analyze protein-ligand binding contacts in the RAMD trajectories in order to derive regression models for estimating τ and to decipher the molecular features leading to longer τ values. We demonstrate that the regression models built on the protein-ligand interaction fingerprints of the dissociation trajectories result in robust estimates of τ for a set of 94 drug-like inhibitors of heat shock protein 90 (HSP90), even for the compounds for which the length of the RAMD trajectories does not provide a good estimation of τ. Thus, we find that machine learning helps to overcome inaccuracies in the modeling of protein-ligand complexes due to incomplete sampling or force field deficiencies. Moreover, the approach facilitates the identification of features important for residence time. In particular, we observed that interactions of the ligand with the sidechain of F138, which is located on the border between the ATP binding pocket and a hydrophobic transient sub-pocket, play a key role in slowing compound dissociation. We expect that the combination of the τRAMD simulation procedure with machine learning analysis will be generally applicable as an aid to target-based lead optimization.

Highlights

  • The binding affinity of small compounds to their target is commonly used as a selection criterion in drug design pipelines, both for the early screening of chemical libraries and for the subsequent lead optimization

  • For all compounds, the interaction fingerprints (IF) are transformed into a set of features for the machine learning (ML) analysis, which includes the clustering of the ligand dissociation properties and the building of regression models for residence time based on available experimental binding kinetics data

  • The role of polar residues around the pocket entrance (D54, N106, K58) and more distant residues, such as I110 and T61, or even F20 increases. These results suggest that: (i) the presence of the bound state IFs in the feature set is crucial for the quality of regression models (RM) for prediction of residence times, the RMs do not seem to be very sensitive to the exact duration of the bound state, (ii) dissociation pathways may be very diverse, which makes it difficult to build a consistent model from transition state information only

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Summary

Introduction

The binding affinity of small compounds to their target is commonly used as a selection criterion in drug design pipelines, both for the early screening of chemical libraries and for the subsequent lead optimization. Some of them are aimed at the reduction of the configurational space to be sampled for the computation of binding kinetic rates, e.g., metadynamics (Tiwary et al, 2015, 2017), weighted ensemble methods (Dickson and Lotz, 2016; Dixon et al, 2018), or milestoning (Tang and Chang, 2017) [a detailed review can be found elsewhere (Mollica et al, 2016; Dickson et al, 2017)] These methods are designed for the prediction of the absolute values of binding and unbinding rates within a reasonable computation time, they are still very computationally demanding and require high user expertise, which impedes the implementation of these methods in drug design pipelines. In addition to the limitations arising from the selection of the sub-space to be sampled, intrinsic limitations of the underlying physical model of molecular interactions, such as the force field and the water model, may affect the accuracy of the computed rates

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