Lymphocyte-To-Monocyte Ratio as the Best Simple Predictor of Bacterial Infection in Patients with Liver Cirrhosis.

Abstract

Background and aim: The aim of this study was to assess the diagnostic performance of new morphology-related indices and Child–Turcotte–Pugh (CTP) and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores during hospitalization in predicting the onset of bacterial infection in patients with liver cirrhosis. Material and methods: A total of 171 patients (56.9% males; median age 59 years; total number of hospitalizations 209) with liver cirrhosis were included in this observational study. The diagnosis of cirrhosis was made on the basis of clinical, biochemical, ultrasonic, histological, and endoscopic findings. The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), modified aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI), aspartate aminotransferase-to-alanine aminotransferase ratio (AAR), Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), neutrophil-to-monocyte ratio (NMR), and CTP and MELD scores were calculated for the cases of patients with cirrhosis. Results: Bacterial infection was diagnosed in 60 of the 209 (28.7%) hospitalizations of patients with cirrhosis. The most common infections were urinary tract infection (UTI), followed by pneumonia and sepsis. The more severe the liver failure, the greater the bacterial infection prevalence and mortality. Patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis were infected more often than subjects with compensated cirrhosis (50.0% vs. 12.9%, p = 0.003). The calculated MELD score, CTP, NLR, LMR, AAR, monocyte count, and C-reactive protein (CRP) concentration were also related to the bacterial infection prevalence, and mortality areas under the curve (AUC) were 0.629, 0.687, 0.606, 0.715, 0.610, 0.648, and 0.685, respectively. The combined model with two variables (LMR and CTP) had the best AUC of 0.757. The most common bacteria isolated from patients with UTI were Escherichia coli, Enterococcus faecalis, and Klebsiella pneumonia. Gram-negative bacteria were also responsible for spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP), and together with gram-positive streptococci and staphylococci, these microorganisms were isolated from blood cultures of patients with sepsis. Significant differences were found between CTP classification, MELD score, NLR, LMR, AAR, CRP, and PLR in patients with cirrhosis with, or without, bacterial infection. Conclusions: Bacterial infection prevalence is relatively high in patients with liver cirrhosis. Although all analyzed scores, including the LMR, NLR, aspartate aminotransferase (AST)/alanine aminotransferase (ALT), CRP, CTP, and MELD, allowed the prediction of bacterial occurrence, the LMR had the highest clinical utility, according to the area under the curve (AUC) and odds ratio (OR).