Lung ultrasound score to predict development of acute chest syndrome in children with sickle cell disease

Abstract

This study aims to identify lung ultrasound (LUS) findings associated with acute chest syndrome (ACS) at the time of admission and 24-48 h later, to compare these to chest radiography (CXR) findings and to establish a score to predict the development of this pulmonary complication in sickle cell disease (SCD) children METHODS: A prospective observational study of SCD children presenting signs or symptoms of ACS evaluated by LUS and CXR at admission and 24-48 h later. A score was conceived to predict the evolution of ACS during hospitalization based on ultrasonographic findings. Seventy-eight children were evaluated; 61 (78.2 %) developed ACS. A score greater than one at admission showed sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, and positive predictive value (PPV) of 75.4 %, 88.2 %, 78.2 %, and 95.8 %, respectively to predict ACS, while only 32 (52.5 %) CXR showed alterations. The development of ACS during hospitalization was unlikely for a score of zero and very likely for a score greater than one at admission. Regarding follow-up exams, a score greater than one showed sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, and PPV of 98.4 %, 76.5 %, 93.6 %, and 92.8 %, respectively to predict the development of ACS. ACS development was very unlikely for a score of zero and very likely for a score greater than zero in the follow-up. LUS is an effective tool to assess risk for the development of ACS in SCD children with clinical suspicion.