Lower Likelihood of Post-transplant Graft Failure, Death, and Retransplantation in the Era of Direct-Acting Antivirals

Abstract

Direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) are expected to improve outcomes for patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection after liver transplantation (LT). We aim to evaluate trends in post-LT outcomes with availability of DAAs. We retrospectively evaluated USadults transplanted from January 1, 2002, to March 31, 2018, using the United Network for Organ Sharing Registry, stratified by pre-DAA (January 1, 2002- to December 31, 2013) vs. post-DAA (January 1, 2014-, to March 31, 2018) eras. Adjusted multivariate Cox regression analyses and competing risk models evaluated likelihood of graft failure, death, and retransplantation (re-LT). Among 97,147 patients, 30.2% had HCV infection and 19.4% had hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Of all patients, 31.9% experienced graft failure, 27.1% died after LT, and 4.7% underwent re-LT. The post-DAA era experienced lower likelihood of graft failure (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.69, p<0.001). Although patients with HCV infection (HR = 1.18, p < 0.001) and HCC (HR = 1.11, p < 0.001) had higher likelihood of graft failure in the pre-DAA era, no differences were seen in the post-DAA era. Although patients with HCV infection (HR = 1.20, p < 0.001) and HCC (HR = 1.17, p<0.001) had higher likelihood of death after LT in the pre-DAA era, no differences were seen in the post-DAA era. The post-DAA era had lower likelihood of post-LT death when stratified by non-HCC (HR = 0.70, p < 0.001) and HCC cohorts (HR = 0.67, p < 0.001) or by non-HCV (HR = 0.73, p < 0.001) and HCV (HR = 0.58, p < 0.001) cohorts. Although patients with HCV infection and HCC had higher risk of post-LT graft failure and death in the pre-DAA era, the disparity disappeared in the post-DAA era independently of each other. This likely reflects impact of DAAs on improving post-LT outcomes among patients with HCV infection and improved selection of patients with HCC for LT after 2014.