Abstract

BackgroundPhysical activity (PA) is associated with lower risk of stroke. We tested the hypothesis that lack of pre-stroke PA is an independent predictor of poor outcome after first-ever ischemic stroke.MethodsWe assessed recent self-reported PA and other potential predictors for loss of functional independence - modified Rankin Scale (mRS) > 2 - one year after first-ever ischemic stroke in 1370 patients registered between 2006 and 2010 in the Ludwigshafen Stroke Study, a population-based stroke registry.ResultsAfter 1 year, 717 (52.3%) of patients lost their independence including 251 patients (18.3%) who had died. In multivariate logistic regression analysis lack of regular PA prior to stroke (Odds Ratio (OR) 1.7, Confidence Interval (CI) 1.1–2.5), independently predicted poor outcome together with higher age (65–74: OR 1.7; CI 1.1–2.8, 75–84 years: OR 3.3; CI 2.1–5.3; ≥85 years OR 14.5; CI 7.4–28.5), female sex (OR 1.5; CI 1.1–2.1), diabetes mellitus (OR 1.8; CI 1.3–2.5), stroke severity (OR 1.2; CI 1.1–1.2), probable atherothrombotic stroke etiology (OR 1.8; CI 1.1–2.8) and high leukocyte count (> 9.000/mm3; OR 1.4; CI 1.0–1.9) at admission. Subclassifying unknown stroke etiology, embolic stroke of unknown source (ESUS; n = 40, OR 2.2; CI 0.9–5.5) tended to be associated with loss of independence.ConclusionIn addition to previously reported factors, lack of PA prior to stroke as potential indicator of worse physical condition, high leukocyte count at admission as indicator of the inflammatory response and probable atherothrombotic stroke etiology might be independent predictors for non-functional independence in first-ever ischemic stroke.

Highlights

  • Physical activity (PA) is associated with lower risk of stroke

  • Between January 1st, 2006 and December 31st, 2010, 1547 cases of first-ever ischemic stroke were registered in Ludwigshafen Stroke Study (LuSSt)

  • Information on modified Rankin Scale (mRS) prior to stroke was available in 930 patients among whom 63 patients (4.6%) had a mRS > 2

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Summary

Introduction

Physical activity (PA) is associated with lower risk of stroke. We tested the hypothesis that lack of prestroke PA is an independent predictor of poor outcome after first-ever ischemic stroke. Improved individualized therapy in acute ischemic stroke care, preemptive therapy of risk factors or changes in lifestyle prior to stroke may modify ischemic stroke (IS) outcome. Prediction of functional outcome in patients with IS can support clinicians to improve effective stroke care, Clinical rating or imaging - based scoring systems like ASTRAL, DRAGON or SEDAN have been published to predict loss of functional independence after IS [2,3,4,5]. Prognostic models had only minor impact on clinical practice. The majority of these scores were based on retrospective analysis of cases from

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