Low remnant cholesterol and the subsequent risk of new-onset atrial fibrillation: A prospective cohort study

Abstract

BackgroundAtrial fibrillation (AF) is a common arrhythmia with high morbidity and mortality implications. Several studies have described a paradoxical inverse relationship between serum cholesterol and the risk of AF, but it remains unknown whether remnant cholesterol (RC) is associated with AF incidence. ObjectiveThis study aims to prospectively investigate the association between RC and AF. MethodsA total of 392,783 participants free of AF at baseline from the UK Biobank were included for the analysis. Cox proportional hazards model, subgroup analysis, and sensitivity analyses were used to evaluate the independent association between RC levels and the risk of new-onset AF. Furthermore, we performed a discordance analysis by using the median cutoff points of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) and RC. ResultsAfter a median follow-up of 12.8 years (interquartile range 12.0–13.6 years), a total of 23,558 participants experienced incident AF. Compared with the highest RC level, the lower RC level was associated with an increased risk of AF incidence (quartile 1 vs quartile 4: hazard ratio 1.396; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.343–1.452). The results remained robust across a series of sensitivity analyses. In the discordance analyses, a significantly higher risk of AF was observed in participants with discordant low RC/high LDL-C levels than in those with concordant high RC/LDL-C levels. In the low LDL-C group, RC reduction even contributed to an additional 15.8% increased rate of incident AF (low RC/low LDL-C: hazard ratio 1.303; 95% CI 1.260–1.348 vs high RC/low LDL-C: hazard ratio 1.125; 95% CI 1.079–1.172). ConclusionLow RC levels were associated with an increased risk of incident AF independent of traditional cardiovascular risk factors.