Abstract

The risk factors that contribute to future functional disability after heart failure (HF) are poorly understood. The aim of this study was to determine potential risk factors to future functional disability after HF in the general older adult population in Japan. The subjects who were community-dwelling older adults aged 65 or older without a history of cardiovascular diseases and functional disability were followed in this prospective study for 11 years. Two case groups were determined from the 4,644 subjects: no long-term care insurance (LTCI) after HF (n = 52) and LTCI after HF (n = 44). We selected the controls by randomly matching each case of HF with three of the remaining 4,548 subjects who were event-free during the period: those with no LTCI and no HF with age +/-1 years and of the same sex, control for the no LTCI after HF group (n = 156), and control for the LTCI after HF group (n = 132). HF was diagnosed according to the Framingham diagnostic criteria. Individuals with a functional disability were those who had been newly certified by the LTCI during the observation period. Objective data including blood samples and several socioeconomic items in the baseline survey were assessed using a self-reported questionnaire. Significantly associated risk factors were lower educational levels (odds ratio (OR) [95% confidence interval (CI)]: 3.72 [1.63-8.48]) in the LTCI after HF group and hypertension (2.20 [1.10-4.43]) in no LTCI after HF group. Regular alcohol consumption and unmarried status were marginally significantly associated with LTCI after HF (OR [95% CI]; drinker = 2.69 [0.95-7.66]; P = 0.063; unmarried status = 2.54 [0.91-7.15]; P = 0.076). Preventive measures must be taken to protect older adults with unfavorable social factors from disability after HF via a multidisciplinary approach.

Highlights

  • A phenomenon that has the potential to become a major health-related issue in developed countries is rapid population aging combined with low birth rates

  • Regular alcohol consumption and unmarried status were marginally significantly associated with long-term care insurance (LTCI) after heart failure (HF) (OR [95% confidence intervals (CIs)]; drinker = 2.69 [0.95–7.66]; P = 0.063; unmarried status = 2.54 [0.91–7.15]; P = 0.076)

  • Regular drinking and unmarried status were marginally significantly associated with LTCI after HF (OR [95% CI]; regular drinking = 2.69 [0.95–7.66]; P = 0.063; unmarried status = 2.54 [0.91–7.15]; P = 0.076)

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Summary

Introduction

A phenomenon that has the potential to become a major health-related issue in developed countries is rapid population aging combined with low birth rates. With the number of older adults aged 65 years or older on the rise [1], most countries will soon have to face several social and economic challenges specific to the health and welfare of this population. It is imperative for both the government and private sectors to develop new approaches to social security. The older adult population is expected to reach a peak of 38.9 million in 2042 [4] In this scenario, the ongoing issue of sustaining older adults’ health through social security, complemented by a balanced national budget for pension and healthcare expenditure, is relevant [5]

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