Longitudinal change of serum AIM2 levels after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage and its prognostic significance: a two-center prospective cohort study

Abstract

Absent in melanoma 2 (AIM2) is implicated in neuroinflammation. Here, we explored the prognostic significance of serum AIM2 in human aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). We conducted a consecutive enrollment of 127 patients, 56 of whom agreed with blood-drawings not only at admission but also at days 1, 2, 3, 5, 7 and 10 days after aSAH. Serum AIM2 levels of patients and 56 healthy controls were measured. Disease severity was assessed using the modified Fisher scale (mFisher) and World Federation of Neurological Surgeons Scale (WFNS). Neurological outcome at poststroke 90 days was evaluated via the modified Rankin Scale (mRS). Univariate analysis and multivariate analysis were sequentially done to ascertain relationship between serum AIM2 levels, severity, delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI) and 90-day poor prognosis (mRS scores of 3–6). Patients, in comparison to controls, had a significant elevation of serum AIM2 levels at admission and at days 1, 2, 3, 5, 7 and 10 days after aSAH, with the highest levels at days 1, 2, 3 and 5. AIM2 levels were independently correlated with WFNS scores and mFisher scores. Significantly higher serum AIM2 levels were detected in patients with a poor prognosis than in those with a good prognosis, as well as in patients with DCI than in those without DCI. Moreover, serum AIM2 levels independently predicted a poor prognosis and DCI, and were linearly correlated with their risks. Using subgroup analysis, there were no significant interactions between serum AIM2 levels and age, gender, hypertension and so on. There were substantially high predictive abilities of serum AIM2 for poor prognosis and DCI under the receiver operating characteristic curve. The combination models of DCI and poor prognosis, in which serum AIM2, WFNS scores and mFisher scores were incorporated, showed higher discriminatory efficiencies than anyone of the preceding three variables. Moreover, the models are delineated using the nomogram, and performed well under the calibration curve and decision curve. Serum AIM2 levels, with a substantial enhancement during early phase after aSAH, are closely related to bleeding severity, poor 90-day prognosis and DCI of patients, substantializing serum AIM2 as a potential prognostic biomarker of aSAH.