Long-term spatiotemporal variations of ammonia in the Yangtze River Delta region of China and its driving factors

Abstract

This study focuses on the spatiotemporal distribution, urban-rural variations, and driving factors of ammonia Vertical Column Densities (VCDs) in China's Yangtze River Delta region (YRD) from 2008 to 2020. Utilizing data from the Infrared Atmospheric Sounding Interferometer (IASI), Generalized Additive Models (GAM), and the GEOS-Chem chemical transport model, we observed a significant increase of NH3 VCDs in the YRD between 2014 and 2020. The spatial distribution analysis revealed higher NH3 concentrations in the northern part of the YRD region, primarily due to lower precipitation, alkaline soil, and intensive agricultural activities. NH3 VCDs in the YRD region increased significantly (65.18%) from 2008 to 2020. The highest growth rate occurs in the summer, with an annual average growth rate of 7.2% during the period from 2014 to 2020. Agricultural emissions dominated NH3 VCDs during spring and summer, with high concentrations primarily located in the agricultural areas adjacent to densely populated urban zones. Regions within several large urban areas have been discovered to exhibit relatively stable variations in NH3 VCDs. The rise in NH3 VCDs within the YRD region was primarily driven by the reduction of acidic gases like SO2, as emphasized by GAM modeling and sensitivity tests using the GEOS-Chem model. The concentration changes of acidic gases contribute to over 80% of the interannual variations in NH3 VCDs. This emphasizes the crucial role of environmental policies targeting the reduction of these acidic gases. Effective emission control is urgent to mitigate environmental hazards and secondary particulate matter, especially in the northern YRD.