Long-term outcomes and prognostic factors for patients with esophageal cancer following radiotherapy

Abstract

To evaluate long-term outcomes and prognostic factors for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) treated with three dimensional conformal radiotherapy (3D-CRT). Between January 2005 and December 2006, 153 patients (120 males, 33 females) with pathologically confirmed esophageal SCC and treated with 3D-CRT in Cancer Hospital of Shantou University were included in this retrospective analysis. Median age was 60 years (range: 37-84 years). The proportion of tumor location was as follows: upper thorax (including the cervical region), 73 (48%); middle thorax, 73 (48%); lower thorax, 7 (5%), respectively. The median radiation dose was 64 Gy (range: 50-74 Gy). Fifty four cases (35%) received cisplatin-based concurrent chemotherapy. Univariate and multivariate analysis were performed to determine the association between the correlative factors and prognosis. The five-year overall survival rate was 26.3%, with a median follow-up of 49 mo (range: 3-66 mo) for patients who were still alive. On univariate analysis, lesion location, lesion length by barium esophagogram, computed tomography imaging characteristics including Y diameter (anterior-posterior, AP, extent of tumor), gross tumor volume of primary lesion (GTV-E), volume of positive lymph nodes (GTV-LN), and the total target volume (GTV-T = GTV-E + GTV-LN) were prognostic for overall survival. By multivariate analysis, only the Y diameter [hazard ratio (HR) 2.219, 95%CI 1.141-4.316, P = 0.019] and the GTV-T (HR 1.372, 95%CI 1.044-1.803, P = 0.023) were independent prognostic factors for survival. The overall survival of esophageal carcinoma patients undergoing 3D-CRT was promising. The best predictors for survival were GTV-T and Y diameter.