Long‐term fault creep observations in central California

Abstract

The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) has been monitoring aseismic fault slip in central California for more than 10 years as part of an earthquake prediction experiment. Since 1968, the USGS creep network has grown from one creep meter at the Cienega Winery south of Hollister to a 44‐station network that stretches from Hayward, east of San Francisco Bay, to Palmdale in southern California. In general, the long‐term slip pattern is most variable on sections of the faults where several magnitude 4 and larger earthquakes occurred during the recording period (e.g., Calaveras fault near Hollister and San Andreas fault between San Juan Bautista and Bear Valley). These fault sections are the most difficult to characterize with a single long‐term slip rate. In contrast, sections of the faults that are seismically relatively quiet (e.g., San Andreas fault between Bear Valley and Parkfield) produce the steadiest creep records and are easiest to fit with a single long‐term slip rate.Appendix is available with entire article on microfiche. Order from the American Geophysical Union, 2000 Florida Avenue, N.W., Washington, D.C. 20009. Document J82‐004; $1.00. Payment must accompany order.