Abstract

Background The evidence on the association between long-term exposure to particles with mortality, above all cardiovascular mortality, is well established. Some studies have shown an association with lung cancer incidence. The association between chronic exposure to polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons and health outcomes is less clear. The objective of the EXPAH project was to estimate population exposure to PM2.5 and PAH, and to investigate their long-term association with mortality and morbidity in Rome, Italy. Methods We used the Rome Longitudinal Study, a census based cohort of the residents in Rome. We selected subjects aged 40 years, who were living in Rome on the 1st Jan 2008, and we followed them till 31st Dec 2012. Residential exposure to PAHs and PM2.5 was assigned by means of a chemical transport model (1km spatial resolution), using for model validation and improvement, measurements collected during EXPAH field campaigns, and provided by Rome air quality network. We used Cox regression models to evaluate the association between pollutants and non- accidental mortality, cardiovascular mortality, and lung cancer incidence, adjusting for several individual and contextual factors. Results During the follow-up, among the 1,013,886 subjects, there were 80,941deaths for non- accidental causes and 7,585 incident cases of lung cancer. Table 1 shows the association between pollutants and health outcomes. Conclusions We found evidence of an association of all the exposures with non-accidental and cardiovascular mortality, and incidence of lung cancer.

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