Long-term climatological and ecohydrological analysis of a paired catchment – flux tower observatory near Dresden (Germany). Is there evidence of climate change in local evapotranspiration?

Abstract

Water budgets and climate are related in many ways and at all scales. Therefore, we expect climate change to trigger changes in all water budget components at any scale. For Central Europe observed and projected climate change indicates higher variability of precipitation, while evapotranspiration (ET) should increase due to higher temperatures, yielding lower and more variable infiltration and runoff. However, evidence in ET records is limited, as long-term measurements of ET are methodologically challenging and as factors other than climate are changing in parallel, like vegetation and land use.In this study, we take advantage of long-term hydro-meteorological data from the small research catchment Wernersbach (4.6 km2, dominated by Norway spruce) in operation since 1967 and from two eddy-covariance (EC) flux towers, all located in the Tharandt Forest, Germany. The tower DE-Tha is located a few kilometres east of the catchment, is spruce dominated and in operation since 1996. After a wind break of a spruce stand (situated inside the catchment) and planting of deciduous oaks, the tower DE-Hzd was set up in 2009. For the first time, we report systematically about observation, correction methods and metadata of the long data series of the observatory, represented by the Wernersbach catchment and the EC flux towers.Climate change signals in the region are mirrored in the Tharandt Forest records. They show rising air temperature with a breakpoint around 1988 and complex changes in solar radiation associated to a regional peak in air pollution around the same time. The catchment and both towers did not show any systematic differences in climate or meteorological data, allowing us to address observed changes in the water budget components as related to (i) climate change, (ii) change in vegetation, and (iii) different responses due to different soil and hydrogeological characteristics as well as methodological aspects. The catchment term ET plus storage, derived from precipitation minus runoff, showed the expected high variability with a significant increase over the more than 50 years of operation. The flux-tower DE-Tha showed much lower inter-annual variability in ET with an average annual total of 486 mm (1997 to 2019), but no significant trend. For the same period, average catchment ET was 734 mm/yr. The younger flux-tower DE-Hzd showed ET values in between, closer to catchment ET at the very dry end of the ten-year record (2010 to 2019). An analysis of decadal trends in a Budyko framework at catchment level revealed the dominating response of ET to land use or vegetation change until around 1990. The climate induced change of ET increased in the last decades, on the one hand directly due to an increased atmospheric demand. On the other hand, extreme weather events exerted harmful effects on vegetation, especially triggered by two dry years at the end of the record.Furthermore, we found that the mean annual tower ET was about 250 mm lower than catchment ET despite the careful correction for energy balance closure. We attribute this difference to soil and to a lesser extend to vegetation characteristics, but also to methodological uncertainties. There is evidence from interception and transpiration measurements at the flux tower as well as from water budget modelling that a major contribution of this difference is related to an insufficient EC closure correction during interception events. A careful consideration of rain events and evaporation from interception is recommended when addressing ET of similar evergreen forests in a humid climate, as EC records might be generally too low. This illustrates the necessity of redundant and complementary measurements when dealing with large system complexity.