Abstract

The analysis of a 24-year time series of Conductivity-Temperature-Depth (CTD) casts collected in the Balearic Channels (1996–2019) has allowed detecting and quantifying long-term changes in water mass properties in the Western Mediterranean. For the complete period, the intermediate waters have experienced warming and salting at rates of 1.4°C/100yr and 0.3–0.6/100yr for the Western Intermediate Water, and 1°C/100yr and 0.3–0.4/100yr for the Levantine Intermediate Water. The density of these two water masses has not changed. The deep waters, defined as those denser than 29.1 kg/m3, showed positive trends in temperature, salinity, and density (0.8°C/100yr, 0.2/100yr, and 0.02 kg.m–3/100yr, respectively). The high temporal variability of the upper layer makes the detection of long-term changes more difficult. Nevertheless, combining CTD data with temperature data from the oceanographic station at L’Estartit and simulated data from the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis, it can be established that the Atlantic Water increased its temperature at a rate of 2.1–2.8°C/100yr and likely its salinity at a rate of 0.6/100yr. The water column absorbed heat at a rate equivalent to 1–1.2 W/m2. All these trends are much higher than those reported in previous works (more than double in some cases). The warming of the water column produced an increase in the thermosteric component of sea level. However, this increase was compensated by the decrease in the halosteric component. Besides these changes, other alterations related to the Western Mediterranean Transition have been observed over shorter periods. The temperature and salinity of the intermediate waters increased before the winter of 2004/2005 and then the temperature and salinity of the deep waters increased dramatically in 2005. The density of the deep water reached values unprecedented before 2005. Deep and intermediate waters were uplifted by the presence of such dense deep waters. The arrival of warmer and saltier intermediate waters from the Eastern Mediterranean is also observed, mainly after 2010.

Highlights

  • From the beginnings of modern oceanography in the Mediterranean Sea (Nielsen, 1912) and during most of the twentieth century, it was accepted the existence of an equilibrium between the heat and freshwater fluxes through the sea surface and the heat and water transports at the Strait of Gibraltar

  • The temperature and salinity variations have compensated each other and no long-term changes have been observed in the density of the Atlantic Water (AW), Western Intermediate Water (WIW), and Levantine Intermediate Water (LIW)

  • The deep waters have increased their density and the deepest layers of the channels are occupied by waters denser than those found in this region prior to 2004/2005

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Summary

Introduction

From the beginnings of modern oceanography in the Mediterranean Sea (Nielsen, 1912) and during most of the twentieth century, it was accepted the existence of an equilibrium between the heat and freshwater fluxes through the sea surface and the heat and water transports at the Strait of Gibraltar. It was considered that the total salt content of the Mediterranean Sea was constant as a result of a zero net salt flux at the Gibraltar Strait (Bethoux, 1979). This picture has changed since, at least, the beginning of the 1990s decade, when the comparison of temperature and salinity data collected during the twentieth century showed warming and salting of the intermediate and deep waters (Bethoux et al, 1990; Rohling and Bryden, 1992; Vargas-Yáñez et al, 2010, 2017). Most of the ocean climate projections show an intense increase in the salinity and temperature of the Mediterranean during the twenty-first century (Somot et al, 2006; Adloff et al, 2015) as a result of a higher net evaporation rate (Sanchez-Gomez et al, 2009; Mariotti et al, 2015), and a reduction of the net heat loss to the atmosphere (Somot et al, 2008; Dubois et al, 2012; Jordà et al, 2017)

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