Long-term assessment of historical disturbances in the dry land ecosystems of Mutis Timau Nature Reserve, East Nusa Tenggara, Indonesia

Abstract

Long-term assessment using historical satellite imagery is critical for gaining meta-information and identifying trends in land cover change. Informed policymaking about this assessment ensures forest sustainability and mitigates climate change to consider the identified trends in land cover changes and historical disturbances. Therefore, this study aimed to describe the trend of land cover change and historical disturbances in Mutis Timau Nature Reserve (CA Mutis Timau), Indonesia using the LandTrendr platform. The land cover classification is based on SNI 7645-1:2014, with a 1:50,000 scale. The data was processed using Google Earth Engine’s LandTrendr platform, which covered the vegetation index, specifically the normalized burn ratio (NBR). The results showed that the trend of land cover change in CA Mutis Timau remained stable from 1986 to 2023. These disturbance locations have low slopes and are located near neighborhoods. In specifics, the Eucalyptus forest land cover experienced the largest land cover change between 1986 and 2023, losing 945.68 ha of vegetation, or 8% of the total area of CA Mutis Timau. Over a duration of 38 years, from 1986 to 2023, the Eucalyptus forest had a cover change that turned into marble stone, barren land, grassland, and shrubs. Forest management policies, such as establishing a nature reserve area on Mount Mutis areas, had an impact on the long-term sustainability of vegetation land cover.