LOGISTIC REGRESSION ON THE PRIMIPARAL AGE OF WOMEN IN GOMBE, GOMBE STATE

A.U Kinafa,M.b Mohammed M.B Mohammed,A Abdulkadir A Abdulkadir

doi:10.29121/ijetmr.v5.i7.2018.254

Abstract

Failure of women to undergo a successful first child delivery is becoming one of the most challenging problem and a major concern to most of our healthcare providers. In this paper, we apply the binary logistic regression analysis to investigate whether age of women at first birth have a relationship with the outcome of their delivery (Success or failure). The data was collected from Gombe Town Maternity and was subjected to analysis. From the result of the analysis, we observed that most of the women at tender age (12-17) are classified to fail (69%) during their first child delivery while most of the women at higher age (19 and above) have a better chance of succeeding during their first parturition. Also, the result shows that the average age at which women ought to conceive successfully is 19 years. The Wald statistics result also shows that the logistic regression model fits the data very well.

Highlights

Age at first birth is the age of mothers at the birth of their first child or the age at which a woman gives birth to her first offspring or child
Logistic regression analysis consists of several models and the use of each model depends on the nature of data
From the result obtained in the analysis, the odds ratios shows that women at tender age are more likely to fail and less likely to succeed during parturition (2.2933) while women at higher age have a better chance of succeeding and are far less likely to fail (0.4538) during child delivery

Summary

Introduction

Age at first birth (primiparal age) is the age of mothers at the birth of their first child or the age at which a woman gives birth to her first offspring or child It is the useful indicator for gauging the success of family planning programs aiming to reduce the ever increasing maternal mortality, increase contraceptive use among unmarried adolescents, delay age at first marriage and improve the health of newborns. Maternal age at first birth may have long-term consequences for the health of women as they age It is a known risk factor for obstetrical complications with lifelong associated morbidities. The risk of maternal failure related to the pregnancy and childbirth for adolescent girls between 13 and 18 years of age accounts for numerous sorts of problems during parturition (World health organization, 2007).

Methods

Findings

Discussion

Conclusion