Abstract

BackgroundNeuroblastoma is the most common pediatric solid tumor. About fifty percent of high risk patients die despite treatment making the exploration of new and more effective strategies for improving stratification mandatory. Hypoxia is a condition of low oxygen tension occurring in poorly vascularized areas of the tumor associated with poor prognosis. We had previously defined a robust gene expression signature measuring the hypoxic component of neuroblastoma tumors (NB-hypo) which is a molecular risk factor. We wanted to develop a prognostic classifier of neuroblastoma patients' outcome blending existing knowledge on clinical and molecular risk factors with the prognostic NB-hypo signature. Furthermore, we were interested in classifiers outputting explicit rules that could be easily translated into the clinical setting.ResultsShadow Clustering (SC) technique, which leads to final models called Logic Learning Machine (LLM), exhibits a good accuracy and promises to fulfill the aims of the work. We utilized this algorithm to classify NB-patients on the bases of the following risk factors: Age at diagnosis, INSS stage, MYCN amplification and NB-hypo. The algorithm generated explicit classification rules in good agreement with existing clinical knowledge. Through an iterative procedure we identified and removed from the dataset those examples which caused instability in the rules. This workflow generated a stable classifier very accurate in predicting good and poor outcome patients. The good performance of the classifier was validated in an independent dataset. NB-hypo was an important component of the rules with a strength similar to that of tumor staging.ConclusionsThe novelty of our work is to identify stability, explicit rules and blending of molecular and clinical risk factors as the key features to generate classification rules for NB patients to be conveyed to the clinic and to be used to design new therapies. We derived, through LLM, a set of four stable rules identifying a new class of poor outcome patients that could benefit from new therapies potentially targeting tumor hypoxia or its consequences.

Highlights

  • Neuroblastoma is the most common pediatric solid tumor

  • We found that this algorithm can generate rules stratifying high risk neuroblastoma patients who could benefit from new therapeutic approach related to hypoxia

  • The novelty of our work is to target stability, explicit rules and blending of risk factors as the characterizing elements to generate classification rules for NB patients to be conveyed to the clinic and to be used to design new therapies

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Summary

Introduction

Neuroblastoma is the most common pediatric solid tumor. About fifty percent of high risk patients die despite treatment making the exploration of new and more effective strategies for improving stratification mandatory. We wanted to develop a prognostic classifier of neuroblastoma patients’ outcome blending existing knowledge on clinical and molecular risk factors with the prognostic NB-hypo signature. Neuroblastoma is the most common solid pediatric tumor, deriving from ganglionic lineage precursors of the sympathetic nervous system [1] It shows notable heterogeneity of clinical behavior, ranging from rapid progression associated with metastatic spread and poor clinical outcome to. Prognostic gene signatures were described [4,5,6,7,8,9,10] and classifiers were trained to predict the risk class and/or patients’ outcome [4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11]. The translation of the computational results to the clinic requires the use of explicit statements, coupled with the capability of blending prior knowledge on the disease with newly acquired information from high throughput technology

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