Abstract

This study aimed to develop a novel method to diagnose early keratoconus by detecting localized corneal biomechanical changes based on dynamic deformation videos using machine learning. Diagnostic research study. We included 917 corneal videos from the Tianjin Eye Hospital (Tianjin, China) and Shanxi Eye Hospital (Xi'an, China) from February 6, 2015, to August 25, 2022. Scheimpflug technology was used to obtain dynamic deformation videos under forced puffs of air. Fourteen new pixel-level biomechanical parameters were calculated based on a spline curve equation fitting by 115,200-pixel points from the corneal contour extracted from videos to characterize localized biomechanics. An ensemble learning model was developed, external validation was performed, and the diagnostic performance was compared with that of existing clinical diagnostic indices. The performance of the developed machine learning model was evaluated using precision, recall, F1 score, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. The ensemble learning model successfully diagnosed early keratoconus (area under the curve = 0.9997) with 95.73% precision, 95.61% recall, and 95.50% F1 score in the sample set (n=802). External validation on an independent dataset (n=115) achieved 91.38% precision, 92.11% recall, and 91.18% F1 score. Diagnostic accuracy was significantly better than that of existing clinical diagnostic indices (from 86.28% to 93.36%, all P <0.01). Localized corneal biomechanical changes detected using dynamic deformation videos combined with machine learning algorithms were useful for diagnosing early keratoconus. Focusing on localized biomechanical changes may guide ophthalmologists, aiding the timely diagnosis of early keratoconus and benefiting the patient's vision.

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