Abstract

As more and more species face anthropogenic threats, understanding the causes of population declines in vulnerable taxa is essential. However, long-term datasets, ideal to identify lasting or indirect effects on fitness measures such as those caused by environmental factors, are not always available. Here we use a single year but multi-population approach on populations with contrasting demographic trends to identify possible drivers and mechanisms of seabird population changes in the north-east Atlantic, using the Atlantic puffin, a declining species, as a model system. We combine miniature GPS trackers with camera traps and DNA metabarcoding techniques on four populations across the puffins' main breeding range to provide the most comprehensive study of the species' foraging ecology to date. We find that puffins use a dual foraging tactic combining short and long foraging trips in all four populations, but declining populations in southern Iceland and north-west Norway have much greater foraging ranges, which require more (costly) flight, as well as lower chick-provisioning frequencies, and a more diverse but likely less energy-dense diet, than stable populations in northern Iceland and Wales. Together, our findings suggest that the poor productivity of declining puffin populations in the north-east Atlantic is driven by breeding adults being forced to forage far from the colony, presumably because of low prey availability near colonies, possibly amplified by intraspecific competition. Our results provide valuable information for the conservation of this and other important North-Atlantic species and highlight the potential of multi-population approaches to answer important questions about the ecological drivers of population trends.

Highlights

  • Biodiversity is experiencing its highest rate of extinction to date in the Anthropocene, driven by overexploitation, land use change, pollution, invasive species and disease (Maxwell et al, 2016), with extinction risks caused by climate change predicted to accelerate (Urban, 2015)

  • Our findings suggest that the poor productivity of declining puffin populations in the north-­east Atlantic is driven by breeding adults being forced to forage far from the colony, presumably because of low prey availability near colonies, possibly amplified by intraspecific competition

  • Our study provides unprecedented insight into the foraging ecology of breeding puffins across their range and reveals important foraging areas for puffins at major breeding grounds, essential information to inform conservation

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Summary

Introduction

Biodiversity is experiencing its highest rate of extinction to date in the Anthropocene, driven by overexploitation, land use change, pollution, invasive species and disease (Maxwell et al, 2016), with extinction risks caused by climate change predicted to accelerate (Urban, 2015). Seabirds are top marine predators and valuable indicators of ocean health (Einoder, 2009), but are declining worldwide and are among the most threatened birds on Earth (Dias et al, 2019). They face numerous threats, from invasive species and nesting habitat loss on land, to overfishing, bycatch and climate change at sea (Dias et al, 2019). While some populations have been the subject of detailed long-­term studies, the mechanisms leading to the declines of many others often remain unclear. We use a multi-­population approach incorporating contrasting population trends as a complementary approach to long-­term studies of single populations to identify the causes of population declines

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