Abstract

The determination of the Hubble constant $H_0$ from the Cosmic Microwave Background by the Planck Collaboration [Aghanim et al. 2018] is in tension at $4.2\sigma$ with respect to the local determination of $H_0$ by the SH0ES collaboration [Reid et al. 2019]. Here, we improve upon the local determination, which fixes the deceleration parameter to the standard $\Lambda$CDM model value of $q_0=-0.55$, that is, uses information from observations beyond the local universe. First, we derive the effective calibration prior on the absolute magnitude $M_B$ of Supernovae Ia, which can be used in cosmological analyses in order to avoid the double counting of low-redshift supernovae. We find $M_B = -19.2334 \pm 0.0404$ mag. Then, we use the above $M_B$ prior in order to obtain a determination of the local $H_0$ which only uses local observations and only assumes the cosmological principle, that is, large-scale homogeneity and isotropy. This is achieved by adopting an uninformative flat prior for $q_0$ in the cosmographic expansion of the luminosity distance. We use the latest Pantheon sample and find $H_0= 75.35 \pm 1.68 \text{ km s}^{-1} {\rm Mpc}^{-1}$, which features a 2.2% uncertainty, close to the 1.9% error obtained by the SH0ES Collaboration. Our determination is at the higher tension of $4.5\sigma$ with the latest results from the Planck Collaboration that assume the $\Lambda$CDM model. Furthermore, we also constrain the deceleration parameter to $q_0= -1.08 \pm 0.29$, which disagrees with Planck at the $1.9\sigma$ level. These estimations only use supernovae in the redshift range $0.023\le z\le 0.15$.

Highlights

  • The CDM model, the standard model of cosmology, has been extremely successful

  • Since the first release of the cosmic microwave background (CMB) observations by the Planck Collaboration in 2013 [1], the determination of the Hubble constant H0 based on the standard model of cosmology started to be in tension with the model-independent determination via calibrated local Supernovae Ia (SN) by the SH0ES Collaboration in 2011 [2]

  • While the validity of the calibration prior depends on the standardizable nature of supernovae Ia, a process that includes corrections due to color, stretch, and host-galaxy mass, the validity of the cosmographic analysis is solely based on the approximation that the FLRW metric provides a good description of our universe at large scales

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Summary

INTRODUCTION

The CDM model, the standard model of cosmology, has been extremely successful. Assuming only general relativity and well-understood linear perturbations about a homogeneous and isotropic background model, with just six parameters it accounts for basically all cosmological observations on a vast range of scales in space and time. Since the first release of the cosmic microwave background (CMB) observations by the Planck Collaboration in 2013 [1], the determination of the Hubble constant H0 based on the standard model of cosmology started to be in tension with the model-independent determination via calibrated local Supernovae Ia (SN) by the SH0ES Collaboration in 2011 [2]. Physics beyond the standard model has been investigated, in the hope that this tension could reveal possible alternatives to the highly tuned cosmological constant and the yet-undetected dark matter (see, e.g., [15,16,17,18,19]). We wish to improve upon the local determination by the SH0ES Collaboration, which adopts a Dirac δ prior on the deceleration parameter, centered at the standard CDM model value of q0 = −0.55. Appendix A presents details regarding the derivation of the effective calibration prior, Appendix B reports the results relative to the Supercal supernova data set, and Appendix C reports the results relative to the older determination of H0 in [6]

COSMOGRAPHY
EFFECTIVE CALIBRATION PRIOR
Demarginalization
Deconvolution
Robustness
Calibration prior in cosmological analyses
DETERMINATION OF LOCAL H0
DISCUSSION
CONCLUSION
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